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Carl Benedikt Frey
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Carl Benedikt Frey

Dieter Schwarz Associate Professor of AI & Work, University of Oxford | Author of How Progress Ends

Artificial Intelligence Future of Work Economic History Automation Innovation Institutions

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What Carl brings

Carl Benedikt Frey brings a historical and economic perspective to the question of whether new technology becomes shared progress. His contribution connects automation and AI with the institutions, incentives and political responses that shape their effects. For executive teams, the useful discussion is not simply how much work a technology could perform, but how its benefits and costs are distributed and what supports adaptation. His research challenges both inevitable-progress narratives and simple job-loss predictions. That makes him relevant when an AI or future-of-work event needs to examine the transition itself: the choices affecting capability, trust and opportunity while technological change moves faster than established organisational and social arrangements.

Keynote topics

The Technology Trap

A technology can create long-term prosperity while imposing difficult immediate costs on particular workers and communities. Drawing on The Technology Trap, Frey examines that tension through the history of automation. For leadership audiences, the discussion asks how a transition is managed and why resistance can develop even when aggregate benefits appear promising. It connects technological ambition with the institutions and choices required to support adaptation rather than treating opposition as simple unwillingness to change.

How Progress Ends

Innovation and economic momentum cannot be assumed to continue indefinitely. Drawing on his 2025 book, Frey examines why societies respond differently to technological change and why progress can give way to stagnation. For executive and strategy audiences, the useful question is what conditions sustain the ability to adapt. The discussion challenges an inevitable-growth narrative while providing a historical frame for examining institutions, incentives and the choices that influence future opportunity.

AI, Automation and the Future of Work

Technical susceptibility is not the same as a prediction that a job will disappear on a particular date. Frey examines what automation research can and cannot tell leaders about changing work. For executive and workforce audiences, the discussion asks how adoption, skills, institutions and economic incentives affect the outcome. It provides a more careful alternative to headline job-loss numbers, keeping attention on the transition and the decisions available to organisations and policymakers.

Innovation, Institutions and Shared Opportunity

The effects of a new technology depend partly on the environment into which it arrives. Frey connects research on innovation with the institutions and political economy shaping who can participate. For senior leadership audiences, the discussion asks what supports experimentation, adaptation and confidence through change. It brings human consequences into the strategy conversation without treating them as separate from competitiveness, or assuming that a technology’s potential will automatically become widely available opportunity.

Carl Benedikt Frey is the Dieter Schwarz Associate Professor of AI and Work at the Oxford Internet Institute and a Fellow of Mansfield College, University of Oxford. He is also director of the Future of Work Programme and Oxford Martin Citi Fellow at the Oxford Martin School. His research connects the economics of AI with the history and political economy of technological change.

Frey studied economics, history and management at Lund University and completed his doctorate at the Max Planck Institute for Innovation and Competition in 2011. He subsequently joined Oxford, where he established the Future of Work programme. His academic work examines innovation, employment, cities and the institutions influencing economic development.

He co-authored the 2013 study The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation, which helped shape debate about automation. That work concerns susceptibility to technical change, not a timetable predicting when particular people will lose their jobs. The distinction remains important when its findings are used in public or organisational discussion.

His book The Technology Trap examines how technological revolutions redistribute economic and political power, including the difference between long-term prosperity and the immediate experience of workers. His 2025 book, How Progress Ends: Technology, Innovation, and the Fate of Nations, asks why innovation does not guarantee sustained progress. It extends his historical lens into the conditions under which societies adapt, stagnate or lose momentum.

For executive audiences, Frey is relevant when a technology agenda needs a more serious account of transition and opportunity. A useful brief might concern the workforce implications of AI, the conditions supporting innovation or why resistance develops around a promising technology. His perspective invites leaders to examine institutions, incentives and human consequences, rather than assuming that technical possibility alone establishes a desirable or inevitable economic future.

Watch Carl in action.

Why AI is about much more than tech — World Economic Forum

AI for Progress (Carl Benedikt Frey) | DLD25 — DLD Conference

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